Xavier Worthy props — Week 9

WR · KC vs NYJ · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET

O/U 46.5KC -9.5Implied 28 pts

Model projections

Prop	Model pick	Model	Projection	Floor–Ceiling	Last 6	Book
Receptions	Under 3.5	57%	3.5	1–5	3/6	-180 (64%)
Receiving Yards	Under 31.5	52%	35.3	12–55	4/6	-112 (53%)
Anytime TD	Yes	29%	—	—	1/6	+205 (33%)

What drives the projection

Snap share

84%

Target share

19%

WOPR

0.47

Catch rate

66%

Yards / target

5.6

Team pass attempts (proj)

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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