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Xavier Hutchinson props — Week 9

WR · HOU vs LAC · Sun Nov 8 4:05 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 40.5HOU -4.5Implied 22.5 ptsUsage up with Jaylin Noel out

Model projections

PropModel pickModelProjectionFloor–CeilingLast 6Book
ReceptionsUnder 2.556%2.71–41/6-194 (66%)
Receiving YardsOver 24.553%31.511–494/6no line
Anytime TDYes22%——1/6+550 (15%)

What drives the projection

Snap share
53%
Target share
18%
WOPR
0.39
Catch rate
53%
Yards / target
6.5
Carry share
2%
Yards / carry
4
Team pass attempts (proj)
31
Team rush attempts (proj)
27

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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