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Ty Johnson props — Week 9
RB · BUF vs MIN · Mon Nov 9 8:15 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET
O/U 45.5BUF -3.5Implied 24.5 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 2.5 | 62% | 2.3 | -194 (66%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 18.5 | 53% | 24.2 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 25% | — | +850 (11%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
24%
Target share
12%
WOPR
0.17
Catch rate
100%
Yards / target
11.6
Carry share
3%
Yards / carry
1.7
Team pass attempts (proj)
29
Team rush attempts (proj)
33
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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