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Tucker Kraft props — Week 9
TE · GB vs NE · Sun Nov 8 4:25 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 46.5GB +2.5Implied 22 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 4.5 | 55% | 4.3 | -135 (57%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 45.5 | 53% | 48.2 | -113 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 32% | — | +270 (27%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
83%
Target share
16%
WOPR
0.31
Catch rate
71%
Yards / target
7.1
Carry share
1%
Yards / carry
2.5
Team pass attempts (proj)
41
Team rush attempts (proj)
22
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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