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Tim Patrick props — Week 9
WR · NYJ vs KC · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET
O/U 46.5NYJ +9.5Implied 18.5 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 1.5 | 53% | 1.7 | -152 (60%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 16.5 | 53% | 21.7 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 15% | — | +900 (10%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
81%
Target share
10%
WOPR
0.24
Catch rate
50%
Yards / target
6.8
Team pass attempts (proj)
39
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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