NFL players › MIN
T.J. Hockenson props — Week 9
TE · MIN vs BUF · Mon Nov 9 8:15 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 45.5MIN +3.5Implied 21 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 4.5 | 60% | 3.7 | -140 (58%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 42.5 | 57% | 38.6 | -118 (54%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 30% | — | +240 (29%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
66%
Target share
20%
WOPR
0.43
Catch rate
84%
Yards / target
8
Team pass attempts (proj)
33
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
See this week's top plays →