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Seth McGowan props — Week 9

RB · IND vs DAL · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 51.5IND +6Implied 22.8 pts

Model projections

PropModel pickModelProjectionFloor–CeilingLast 6Book
Anytime TDYes19%——0/6+245 (29%)

What drives the projection

Snap share
21%
Target share
2%
WOPR
0.04
Catch rate
80%
Yards / target
2.4
Carry share
16%
Yards / carry
4.4
Team pass attempts (proj)
42
Team rush attempts (proj)
26

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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