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Ryan Flournoy props — Week 9
WR · DAL vs IND · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 51.5DAL -6Implied 28.8 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 4.5 | 62% | 3.6 | -139 (58%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 57.5 | 63% | 41.1 | -113 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 34% | — | +185 (35%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
73%
Target share
15%
WOPR
0.32
Catch rate
68%
Yards / target
7.8
Carry share
1%
Yards / carry
3
Team pass attempts (proj)
36
Team rush attempts (proj)
32
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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