NFL players › KC
Patrick Mahomes props — Week 9
QB · KC vs NYJ · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 46.5KC -9.5Implied 28 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Over 240.5 | 53% | 247.3 | -112 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 15% | — | +450 (18%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
100%
Carry share
11%
Yards / carry
3.7
Yards / attempt
7.7
Team pass attempts (proj)
28
Team rush attempts (proj)
35
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
See this week's top plays →