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Noah Gray props — Week 9
TE · KC vs NYJ · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET
O/U 46.5KC -9.5Implied 28 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 60% | 2.2 | no line |
| Receiving Yards | Over 19.5 | 53% | 25.2 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 22% | — | +500 (17%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
58%
Target share
8%
WOPR
0.18
Catch rate
88%
Yards / target
10.8
Team pass attempts (proj)
28
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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