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Michael Wilson props — Week 9
WR · ARI vs SEA · Sun Nov 8 4:25 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 43.5ARI +10.5Implied 16.5 ptsUsage up with Kendrick Bourne out
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 4.5 | 52% | 4.7 | -124 (55%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 48.5 | 52% | 53.2 | -113 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 31% | — | +290 (26%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
89%
Target share
26%
WOPR
0.68
Catch rate
56%
Yards / target
6
Carry share
1%
Yards / carry
9.3
Team pass attempts (proj)
47
Team rush attempts (proj)
18
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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