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MarShawn Lloyd props — Week 9
RB · GB vs NE · Sun Nov 8 4:25 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
Listed QuestionableO/U 46.5GB +2.5Implied 22 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 52% | 1.8 | no line |
| Receiving Yards | Under 12.5 | 49% | 15.7 | no line |
| Rushing Yards | Under 18.5 | 50% | 21.4 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 33% | — | +800 (11%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
36%
Target share
6%
WOPR
0.09
Catch rate
77%
Yards / target
4.7
Carry share
34%
Yards / carry
2.6
Team pass attempts (proj)
41
Team rush attempts (proj)
22
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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