Mark Andrews props — Week 9

TE · BAL vs JAX · Thu Nov 5 8:15 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 42.5BAL +9.5Implied 16.5 pts

Model projections

Prop	Model pick	Model	Projection	Floor–Ceiling	Last 6	Book
Receptions	Over 2.5	52%	2.7	—	5/6	-132 (57%)
Receiving Yards	Under 18.5	50%	22.7	—	2/6	-115 (54%)
Anytime TD	Yes	18%	—	—	1/6	+550 (15%)

What drives the projection

Snap share

64%

Target share

19%

WOPR

0.39

Catch rate

71%

Yards / target

5.3

Team pass attempts (proj)

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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