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Makai Lemon props — Week 9
WR · PHI vs NYG · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 39.5PHI +3.5Implied 18 ptsUsage up with Elijah Mitchell out
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 4.5 | 58% | 4.1 | -133 (57%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 39.5 | 56% | 36.4 | -113 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 14% | — | +400 (20%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
77%
Target share
18%
WOPR
0.38
Catch rate
69%
Yards / target
5.6
Carry share
1%
Yards / carry
-5
Team pass attempts (proj)
35
Team rush attempts (proj)
21
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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