Kimani Vidal props — Week 9

RB · LAC vs HOU · Sun Nov 8 4:05 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET

O/U 40.5LAC +4.5Implied 18 pts

Model projections

Prop	Model pick	Model	Projection	Floor–Ceiling	Last 6	Book
Receptions	Under 1.5	51%	1.8	0–3	3/6	-140 (58%)
Receiving Yards	Under 9.5	48%	12.1	4–19	3/6	no line
Anytime TD	Yes	21%	—	—	2/6	+475 (17%)

What drives the projection

Snap share

33%

Target share

WOPR

0.11

Catch rate

64%

Yards / target

3.6

Carry share

15%

Yards / carry

4.6

Team pass attempts (proj)

Team rush attempts (proj)

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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