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Kenneth Walker III props — Week 9
RB · KC vs NYJ · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET
O/U 46.5KC -9.5Implied 28 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 2.5 | 51% | 2.6 | -110 (52%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 17.5 | 52% | 19.5 | -111 (53%) |
| Rushing Yards | Under 90.5 | 50% | 100.1 | -114 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 76% | — | -200 (67%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
75%
Target share
14%
WOPR
0.19
Catch rate
69%
Yards / target
4.1
Carry share
76%
Yards / carry
5.5
Team pass attempts (proj)
28
Team rush attempts (proj)
35
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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