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Keaton Mitchell props — Week 9
RB · LAC vs HOU · Sun Nov 8 4:05 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET
O/U 40.5LAC +4.5Implied 18 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 1.5 | 49% | 1.8 | no line |
| Receiving Yards | Over 8.5 | 52% | 11 | no line |
| Rushing Yards | Over 17.5 | 52% | 20.8 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 19% | — | +650 (13%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
32%
Target share
9%
WOPR
0.12
Catch rate
83%
Yards / target
3.8
Carry share
20%
Yards / carry
3.7
Team pass attempts (proj)
34
Team rush attempts (proj)
23
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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