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Josh Jacobs props — Week 9

RB · GB vs NE · Sun Nov 8 4:25 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 46.5GB +2.5Implied 22 pts

Model projections

PropModel pickModelProjectionFloor–CeilingLast 6Book
ReceptionsUnder 3.553%3.62–50/2-140 (58%)
Receiving YardsUnder 20.549%25.89–401/2-113 (53%)
Rushing YardsUnder 47.556%44.619–662/2-113 (53%)
Anytime TDYes58%——2/2-103 (51%)

What drives the projection

Snap share
61%
Target share
16%
WOPR
0.27
Catch rate
85%
Yards / target
5.2
Carry share
19%
Yards / carry
2.3
Team pass attempts (proj)
41
Team rush attempts (proj)
22

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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