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Jordan Watkins props — Week 9

WR · SF vs LV · Sun Nov 8 4:05 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 51.5SF -10Implied 30.8 pts

Model projections

PropModel pickModelProjectionFloor–CeilingLast 6Book
ReceptionsOver 1.558%21–32/3-152 (60%)
Receiving YardsUnder 29.549%36.712–571/3no line
Anytime TDYes20%——0/3+340 (23%)

What drives the projection

Snap share
60%
Target share
9%
WOPR
0.25
Catch rate
67%
Yards / target
15.3
Team pass attempts (proj)
27

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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