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Jordan Addison props — Week 9
WR · MIN vs BUF · Mon Nov 9 8:15 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET
O/U 45.5MIN +3.5Implied 21 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 3.5 | 57% | 3.2 | -125 (56%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 39.5 | 51% | 45.5 | -114 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 15% | — | +310 (24%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
91%
Target share
22%
WOPR
0.57
Catch rate
49%
Yards / target
7.6
Carry share
1%
Yards / carry
1
Team pass attempts (proj)
33
Team rush attempts (proj)
26
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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