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Jonah Coleman props — Week 9
RB · DEN vs CAR · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET
O/U 44.5DEN -2.5Implied 23.5 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 3.5 | 63% | 2.6 | -125 (56%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 23.5 | 55% | 22.8 | -118 (54%) |
| Rushing Yards | Under 56.5 | 61% | 44.9 | -111 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 39% | — | +105 (49%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
40%
Target share
9%
WOPR
0.09
Catch rate
90%
Yards / target
9.7
Carry share
15%
Yards / carry
4.5
Team pass attempts (proj)
31
Team rush attempts (proj)
27
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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