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Jaylen Waddle props — Week 9
WR · DEN vs CAR · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 44.5DEN -2.5Implied 23.5 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 4.5 | 40% | 3.9 | +106 (49%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 48.5 | 56% | 46.7 | -118 (54%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 23% | — | +200 (33%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
64%
Target share
23%
WOPR
0.6
Catch rate
57%
Yards / target
6.2
Carry share
1%
Yards / carry
11.5
Team pass attempts (proj)
31
Team rush attempts (proj)
27
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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