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Jaxon Smith-Njigba props — Week 9
WR · SEA vs ARI · Sun Nov 8 4:25 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 43.5SEA -10.5Implied 27 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 7.5 | 41% | 6.8 | +116 (46%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 92.5 | 51% | 102 | -111 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 46% | — | -115 (54%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
85%
Target share
36%
WOPR
0.92
Catch rate
72%
Yards / target
11.1
Carry share
1%
Yards / carry
9.7
Team pass attempts (proj)
26
Team rush attempts (proj)
36
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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