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James Cook props — Week 9
RB · BUF vs MIN · Mon Nov 9 8:15 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 45.5BUF -3.5Implied 24.5 ptsUsage up with Josh Palmer out
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 55% | 1.9 | -138 (58%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 15.5 | 48% | 19.7 | no line |
| Rushing Yards | Over 80.5 | 53% | 97 | -117 (54%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 58% | — | -105 (51%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
65%
Target share
9%
WOPR
0.13
Catch rate
71%
Yards / target
6.5
Carry share
64%
Yards / carry
5.1
Team pass attempts (proj)
29
Team rush attempts (proj)
33
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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