Jalen Nailor props — Week 9

WR · LV vs SF · Sun Nov 8 4:05 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 51.5LV +10Implied 20.8 pts

Model projections

Prop	Model pick	Model	Projection	Floor–Ceiling	Last 6	Book
Receptions	Under 2.5	59%	2.4	1–4	4/6	-174 (64%)
Receiving Yards	Over 21.5	52%	28.1	9–44	2/6	-113 (53%)
Anytime TD	Yes	21%	—	—	1/6	+525 (16%)

What drives the projection

Snap share

60%

Target share

13%

WOPR

0.31

Catch rate

50%

Yards / target

4.7

Team pass attempts (proj)

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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