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Jakobi Meyers props — Week 9
WR · JAX vs BAL · Thu Nov 5 8:15 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 42.5JAX -9.5Implied 26 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 3.5 | 57% | 3.4 | -166 (62%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 39.5 | 51% | 45.1 | -113 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 31% | — | +350 (22%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
76%
Target share
16%
WOPR
0.37
Catch rate
71%
Yards / target
10
Carry share
1%
Yards / carry
2
Team pass attempts (proj)
23
Team rush attempts (proj)
35
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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