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Jake Ferguson props — Week 9
TE · DAL vs IND · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
Listed QuestionableO/U 51.5DAL -6Implied 28.8 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 55% | 3 | no line |
| Receiving Yards | Over 20.5 | 53% | 26.3 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 32% | — | +350 (22%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
67%
Target share
9%
WOPR
0.18
Catch rate
68%
Yards / target
4.6
Team pass attempts (proj)
36
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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