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Jahmyr Gibbs props — Week 9

RB · DET vs MIA · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 50.5DET -7Implied 28.8 pts

Model projections

PropModel pickModelProjectionFloor–CeilingLast 6Book
ReceptionsOver 4.545%4.42–74/6+118 (46%)
Receiving YardsUnder 33.552%37.513–583/6-115 (54%)
Rushing YardsOver 98.552%115.955–1694/6-113 (53%)
Anytime TDYes82%——5/6-300 (75%)

What drives the projection

Snap share
78%
Target share
19%
WOPR
0.27
Catch rate
77%
Yards / target
6.5
Carry share
78%
Yards / carry
4.9
Team pass attempts (proj)
32
Team rush attempts (proj)
36

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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