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Jack Bech props — Week 9

WR · LV vs SF · Sun Nov 8 4:05 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET

O/U 51.5LV +10Implied 20.8 pts

Model projections

PropModel pickModelProjectionFloor–CeilingLast 6Book
ReceptionsUnder 2.555%2.51–41/2no line
Receiving YardsOver 21.553%27.79–432/2no line
Anytime TDYes27%——1/2+700 (13%)

What drives the projection

Snap share
47%
Target share
10%
WOPR
0.23
Catch rate
83%
Yards / target
8
Team pass attempts (proj)
47

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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