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Isaiah Likely props — Week 9
TE · NYG vs PHI · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 39.5NYG -3.5Implied 21.5 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 4.5 | 60% | 3.9 | -155 (61%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 43.5 | 57% | 38.8 | -114 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 34% | — | +250 (29%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
75%
Target share
27%
WOPR
0.55
Catch rate
65%
Yards / target
6.3
Team pass attempts (proj)
30
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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