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Isaac TeSlaa props — Week 9

WR · DET vs MIA · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET

O/U 50.5DET -7Implied 28.8 pts

Model projections

PropModel pickModelProjectionFloor–CeilingLast 6Book
ReceptionsUnder 1.554%1.70–33/6-148 (60%)
Receiving YardsUnder 21.548%279–423/6no line
Anytime TDYes27%——0/6+425 (19%)

What drives the projection

Snap share
60%
Target share
9%
WOPR
0.23
Catch rate
48%
Yards / target
9.4
Team pass attempts (proj)
32

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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