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Geno Smith props — Week 9
QB · NYJ vs KC · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 46.5NYJ +9.5Implied 18.5 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Over 214.5 | 53% | 221.4 | -111 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 8% | — | +1300 (7%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
100%
Carry share
11%
Yards / carry
2
Yards / attempt
8
Team pass attempts (proj)
39
Team rush attempts (proj)
20
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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