Evan Engram props — Week 9

TE · DEN vs CAR · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 44.5DEN -2.5Implied 23.5 pts

Model projections

Prop	Model pick	Model	Projection	Floor–Ceiling	Last 6	Book
Receptions	Under 2.5	65%	2.1	1–3	5/6	-200 (67%)
Receiving Yards	Under 18.5	52%	21	7–33	5/6	-113 (53%)
Anytime TD	Yes	16%	—	—	0/6	+525 (16%)

What drives the projection

Snap share

54%

Target share

11%

WOPR

0.25

Catch rate

52%

Yards / target

5.4

Team pass attempts (proj)

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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