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Elijah Mitchell props — Week 9

RB · PHI vs NYG · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 9, 8:01 AM ET

O/U 39.5PHI +3.5Implied 18 pts

Model projections

PropModel pickModelProjectionFloor–CeilingLast 6Book
ReceptionsUnder 2.554%2.61–40/2no line
Receiving YardsUnder 12.548%165–251/2no line
Rushing YardsUnder 25.549%29.813–441/2no line
Anytime TDYes25%——0/2no line

What drives the projection

Snap share
39%
Target share
15%
WOPR
0.16
Catch rate
70%
Yards / target
2.6
Carry share
7%
Yards / carry
3.2
Team pass attempts (proj)
35
Team rush attempts (proj)
21

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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