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Drew Sample props — Week 9
TE · CIN vs ATL · Sun Nov 8 9:30 AM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET
O/U 52.5CIN -3Implied 27.8 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 56% | 2 | no line |
| Receiving Yards | Under 14.5 | 49% | 18.1 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 26% | — | +700 (13%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
56%
Target share
6%
WOPR
0.1
Catch rate
88%
Yards / target
6
Team pass attempts (proj)
38
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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