Denzel Boston props — Week 9

WR · CLE vs NO · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 43.5CLE +2.5Implied 20.5 pts

Model projections

Prop	Model pick	Model	Projection	Floor–Ceiling	Last 6	Book
Receptions	Over 2.5	58%	3.2	1–5	4/6	-148 (60%)
Receiving Yards	Under 40.5	52%	43.4	15–67	3/6	-118 (54%)
Anytime TD	Yes	27%	—	—	1/6	+275 (27%)

What drives the projection

Snap share

90%

Target share

21%

WOPR

0.63

Catch rate

49%

Yards / target

7.7

Team pass attempts (proj)

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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