DeMario Douglas props — Week 9

WR · NE vs GB · Sun Nov 8 4:25 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 46.5NE -2.5Implied 24.5 pts

Model projections

Prop	Model pick	Model	Projection	Floor–Ceiling	Last 6	Book
Receptions	Under 3.5	53%	3.4	1–5	4/6	-114 (53%)
Receiving Yards	Under 40.5	54%	41.2	14–64	3/6	-113 (53%)
Anytime TD	Yes	25%	—	—	3/6	+275 (27%)

What drives the projection

Snap share

56%

Target share

16%

WOPR

0.37

Catch rate

70%

Yards / target

Team pass attempts (proj)

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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