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Courtland Sutton props — Week 9
WR · DEN vs CAR · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 44.5DEN -2.5Implied 23.5 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 3.5 | 58% | 3.4 | -165 (62%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 34.5 | 50% | 42.6 | -114 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 25% | — | +225 (31%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
77%
Target share
16%
WOPR
0.49
Catch rate
54%
Yards / target
6
Team pass attempts (proj)
31
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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