Chris Godwin Jr. props — Week 9

WR · TB vs CHI · Sun Nov 8 8:20 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET

O/U 46.5TB +6Implied 20.3 pts

Model projections

Prop	Model pick	Model	Projection	Floor–Ceiling	Last 6	Book
Receptions	Over 3.5	48%	3.5	1–5	3/6	-117 (54%)
Receiving Yards	Under 32.5	50%	38.1	13–59	4/6	-111 (53%)
Anytime TD	Yes	16%	—	—	0/6	+330 (23%)

What drives the projection

Snap share

82%

Target share

22%

WOPR

0.38

Catch rate

77%

Yards / target

6.9

Carry share

Yards / carry

Team pass attempts (proj)

Team rush attempts (proj)

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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