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Chris Bell props — Week 9
WR · MIA vs DET · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 50.5MIA +7Implied 21.8 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 2.5 | 55% | 2.8 | -181 (64%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 24.5 | 53% | 33.7 | -115 (54%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 10% | — | +475 (17%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
62%
Target share
13%
WOPR
0.33
Catch rate
50%
Yards / target
6.2
Carry share
1%
Yards / carry
12
Team pass attempts (proj)
36
Team rush attempts (proj)
24
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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