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Chase Brown props — Week 9
RB · CIN vs ATL · Sun Nov 8 9:30 AM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 52.5CIN -3Implied 27.8 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 4.5 | 52% | 4.7 | no line |
| Receiving Yards | Over 22.5 | 53% | 29.2 | no line |
| Rushing Yards | Under 49.5 | 49% | 57.4 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 37% | — | no line |
What drives the projection
Snap share
71%
Target share
16%
WOPR
0.22
Catch rate
86%
Yards / target
4.5
Carry share
61%
Yards / carry
3.6
Team pass attempts (proj)
38
Team rush attempts (proj)
28
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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