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Caleb Douglas props — Week 9
WR · MIA vs DET · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 50.5MIA +7Implied 21.8 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 3.5 | 48% | 4 | +135 (43%) |
| Receiving Yards | Over 47.5 | 53% | 59.8 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 23% | — | +260 (28%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
83%
Target share
18%
WOPR
0.45
Catch rate
68%
Yards / target
11.9
Team pass attempts (proj)
36
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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