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Bucky Irving props — Week 9
RB · TB vs CHI · Sun Nov 8 8:20 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET
O/U 46.5TB +6Implied 20.3 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.2 | +105 (49%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 14.5 | 49% | 18.5 | -116 (54%) |
| Rushing Yards | Under 65.5 | 50% | 75.4 | -120 (55%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 43% | — | +105 (49%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
62%
Target share
11%
WOPR
0.13
Catch rate
78%
Yards / target
3.4
Carry share
55%
Yards / carry
5
Team pass attempts (proj)
34
Team rush attempts (proj)
28
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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