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Bryce Lance props — Week 9

WR · NO vs CLE · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 7, 11:35 AM ET

O/U 43.5NO -2.5Implied 23 pts

Model projections

PropModel pickModelProjectionFloor–CeilingLast 6Book
ReceptionsUnder 1.553%1.60–34/6no line
Receiving YardsOver 13.554%17.96–280/6no line
Anytime TDYes19%——1/6+600 (14%)

What drives the projection

Snap share
68%
Target share
9%
WOPR
0.22
Catch rate
41%
Yards / target
3.6
Team pass attempts (proj)
36

Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.

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