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Breece Hall props — Week 9
RB · NYJ vs KC · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 46.5NYJ +9.5Implied 18.5 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 2.5 | 54% | 2.8 | -205 (67%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 21.5 | 48% | 27.3 | no line |
| Rushing Yards | Over 38.5 | 53% | 48.7 | -109 (52%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 33% | — | +210 (32%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
57%
Target share
10%
WOPR
0.16
Catch rate
100%
Yards / target
10.2
Carry share
25%
Yards / carry
3.2
Team pass attempts (proj)
39
Team rush attempts (proj)
20
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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