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Braelon Allen props — Week 9
RB · NYJ vs KC · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 46.5NYJ +9.5Implied 18.5 ptsUsage up with Garrett Wilson out
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 1.5 | 61% | 2.2 | no line |
| Receiving Yards | Over 12.5 | 52% | 16.1 | no line |
| Rushing Yards | Over 52.5 | 52% | 61.3 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 32% | — | +260 (28%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
69%
Target share
10%
WOPR
0.15
Catch rate
77%
Yards / target
3.7
Carry share
54%
Yards / carry
5
Team pass attempts (proj)
39
Team rush attempts (proj)
20
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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