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Bhayshul Tuten props — Week 9
RB · JAX vs BAL · Thu Nov 5 8:15 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
Listed QuestionableO/U 42.5JAX -9.5Implied 26 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 1.5 | 49% | 1.8 | no line |
| Receiving Yards | Over 14.5 | 53% | 18.8 | no line |
| Rushing Yards | Over 53.5 | 52% | 62.5 | no line |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 47% | — | +100 (50%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
55%
Target share
8%
WOPR
0.1
Catch rate
94%
Yards / target
11.3
Carry share
55%
Yards / carry
4.5
Team pass attempts (proj)
23
Team rush attempts (proj)
35
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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