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Baker Mayfield props — Week 9
QB · TB vs CHI · Sun Nov 8 8:20 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 46.5TB +6Implied 20.3 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Under 211.5 | 64% | 171.6 | -113 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 18% | — | +650 (13%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
97%
Carry share
6%
Yards / carry
5
Yards / attempt
6.2
Team pass attempts (proj)
34
Team rush attempts (proj)
28
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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