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Ashton Jeanty props — Week 9
RB · LV vs SF · Sun Nov 8 4:05 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 51.5LV +10Implied 20.8 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 4.5 | 52% | 4.7 | -136 (58%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 35.5 | 50% | 41.9 | -113 (53%) |
| Rushing Yards | Under 28.5 | 50% | 33 | -114 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 42% | — | +165 (38%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
66%
Target share
17%
WOPR
0.29
Catch rate
77%
Yards / target
7.8
Carry share
52%
Yards / carry
3.1
Team pass attempts (proj)
47
Team rush attempts (proj)
20
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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