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AJ Barner props — Week 9
TE · SEA vs ARI · Sun Nov 8 4:25 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 43.5SEA -10.5Implied 27 pts
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Over 2.5 | 52% | 2.8 | -124 (55%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 24.5 | 51% | 27.9 | -113 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 31% | — | +280 (26%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
89%
Target share
14%
WOPR
0.23
Catch rate
62%
Yards / target
6
Carry share
2%
Yards / carry
1.3
Team pass attempts (proj)
26
Team rush attempts (proj)
36
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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